30 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1563
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamczyk
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1585
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.