1 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1336
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Havrda
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1335
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H42-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.