1 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1446
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pelikan
JP
🇨🇿Josef Pelikan
ELO 1447
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pelikan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.