1 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1473
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Novak
MN
🇨🇿Martin Novak
ELO 1558
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Novak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.