1 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1336
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mutl
DM
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1416
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Mutl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.