1 Jul · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Martin Novak
ELO 1558
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Novak
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1448
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Novak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)