1 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1446
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Syroha
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1400
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.