1 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1448
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bruzek
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1443
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H20-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.