1 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1443
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Andrle
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1473
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Andrle
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.