30 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1558
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zuzanek
KK
🇨🇿Karel Kapras
ELO 1535
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H18-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.