30 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LT
🇨🇿Lukas Tonar
ELO 1514
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zuzanek
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1558
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+44
H2H14-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.