1 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1568
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Barton
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1621
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Barton
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.