1 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1559
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sebera
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1558
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.