1 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1511
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vavrecka
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1544
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.