1 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1545
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cabak
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1569
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.