1 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1569
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cabak
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1511
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.