1 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1516
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zmuda
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1485
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.