1 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1518
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1617
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)