1 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1512
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zmuda
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1516
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.