1 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1434
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Franc
PF
🇨🇿Petr Franc
ELO 1437
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Franc
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.