1 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Pozarsky
ELO 1471
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1512
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.