1 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1373
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Franc
PF
🇨🇿Petr Franc
ELO 1437
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Franc
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.