1 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1491
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.