1 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zientek
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1440
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.