1 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1512
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vedmoch
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1485
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+27
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.