1 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1513
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heczko
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.