1 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1574
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Louda
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1559
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Louda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H36-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.