1 Jul · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1646
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pikous
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1549
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H24-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-9)