2 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1545
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cermak
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1561
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.