2 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1580
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Saleny
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1557
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Saleny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H11-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.