2 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1386
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Syroha
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1450
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.