2 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1513
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sebera
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H23-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.