2 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1523
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volny
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1495
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Volny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H11-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.