2 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1432
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Didi
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1441
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Didi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.