2 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1670
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Szotkowski
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1654
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Szotkowski goes over total as favourite 93% (14)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H8-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.