2 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1442
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mikula
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1469
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Mikula
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.