2 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1590
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Saleny
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Saleny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.