2 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1522
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vondrak
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1513
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.