2 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1658
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sychra
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1588
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H14-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.