2 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1633
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pikous
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H31-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.