2 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1486
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Milkov
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Milkov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.