2 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1654
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cabis
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1627
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H52-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.