2 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1654
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Biolek
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1688
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.