2 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1688
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Biolek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1627
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H30-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.