2 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1681
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Opanasiuk
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zeman
ELO 1677
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.