2 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1793
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zajicek
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1813
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H94-134
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.