2 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Volny
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1523
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Volny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.