2 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dousa
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1480
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dousa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H8-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.