2 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tomica
ELO 1557
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wollny
MW
🇨🇿Michal Wollny
ELO 1615
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Wollny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.