2 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kysely
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1562
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.